WC Qual. Asia RONDA ELIMINATORIA 2. Jor. 1

Japan vs Uzbekistan analysis

Japan Uzbekistan
84 ELO 74
14.9% Tilt 0.5%
42º General ELO ranking 345º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
82%
Japan
11.3%
Draw
6.6%
Uzbekistan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
Japan
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
6.6%
Win probability
Uzbekistan
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Japan
+12%
+16%
Uzbekistan

ELO progression

Japan
Uzbekistan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Japan
Japan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 1997
JPN
Japan
0 - 3
Brazil
BRA
13%
21%
67%
84 99 15 0
28 Jun. 1997
JPN
Japan
1 - 1
Oman
OMN
89%
8%
3%
84 56 28 0
25 Jun. 1997
JPN
Japan
3 - 0
Nepal
NPL
95%
4%
1%
84 43 41 0
22 Jun. 1997
JPN
Japan
10 - 0
Macao
MAC
95%
5%
1%
84 38 46 0
15 Jun. 1997
JPN
Japan
1 - 0
Turkey
TUR
61%
23%
17%
83 82 1 +1

Matches

Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 1997
UZB
Uzbekistan
5 - 1
Yemen
YEM
84%
12%
4%
74 54 20 0
29 Jun. 1997
KHM
Camboya
1 - 4
Uzbekistan
UZB
10%
18%
72%
74 31 43 0
20 Jun. 1997
UZB
Uzbekistan
3 - 0
Indonesia
IDN
79%
15%
7%
74 52 22 0
01 Jun. 1997
IDN
Indonesia
1 - 1
Uzbekistan
UZB
18%
22%
61%
74 51 23 0
25 May. 1997
UZB
Uzbekistan
6 - 0
Camboya
KHM
85%
12%
4%
74 31 43 0
X