Japan vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
35.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1996 |
JPN
3 - 2
MEX
33%
29%
39%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
JPN
1 - 0
YUG
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1996 |
JPN
1 - 1
SWE
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1996 |
JPN
5 - 0
POL
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1996 |
AUS
3 - 0
JPN
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1996 |
CHN
1 - 1
URY
29%
29%
43%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1996 |
COL
3 - 1
URY
47%
28%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
URY
0 - 2
PRY
57%
24%
19%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
VEN
0 - 2
URY
19%
28%
53%
|
90 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
BRA
2 - 0
URY
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |