Japan vs Russia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2002 |
JPN
2 - 2
BEL
25%
23%
52%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
JPN
1 - 1
SWE
36%
27%
37%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2002 |
NOR
3 - 0
JPN
56%
24%
20%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2002 |
JPN
3 - 3
HND
54%
23%
23%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2002 |
JPN
1 - 0
SVK
67%
21%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2002 |
RUS
2 - 0
TUN
75%
16%
8%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
RUS
5 - 6
MNG
95%
5%
1%
|
91 | 40 | 51 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
RUS
1 - 1
YUG
32%
26%
42%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2002 |
RUS
1 - 1
BLR
86%
11%
3%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
FRA
0 - 0
RUS
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |