Japan vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 0
JPN
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
JPN
0 - 2
GHA
72%
18%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
JPN
1 - 2
UKR
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
JPN
1 - 1
MLI
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
JPN
1 - 4
KOR
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
USA
1 - 0
PRY
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
PRY
0 - 1
VEN
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
COL
1 - 2
PRY
70%
20%
10%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
PRY
1 - 2
URY
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
CHL
0 - 3
PRY
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |