Japan vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
JPN
1 - 0
PAN
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
JPN
1 - 0
CIV
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
JPN
0 - 0
CMR
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
KOR
1 - 0
JPN
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
JPN
5 - 0
HKG
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MEX
3 - 2
KOR
63%
22%
16%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
MEX
2 - 2
DZA
78%
15%
6%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
NLD
0 - 1
MEX
61%
21%
18%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
MEX
3 - 0
GTM
84%
12%
4%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
MEX
2 - 1
BMU
83%
13%
4%
|
92 | 55 | 37 | 0 |