Japan vs Kyrgyzstan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.2%
3.4%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
JPN
1 - 1
VEN
66%
19%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
JPN
4 - 3
URY
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
JPN
3 - 0
PAN
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
JPN
3 - 0
CRI
56%
23%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2018 |
BEL
3 - 2
JPN
70%
18%
13%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kyrgyzstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
MYS
0 - 1
KGZ
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
KGZ
2 - 1
SYR
9%
17%
74%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2018 |
AZE
3 - 0
KGZ
58%
25%
17%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
KGZ
2 - 1
IND
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
KGZ
5 - 1
MMR
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |