Italy vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
18.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 2
HRV
88%
9%
3%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1994 |
EST
0 - 2
ITA
6%
21%
74%
|
95 | 57 | 38 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
SVN
1 - 1
ITA
8%
22%
70%
|
96 | 73 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 1994 |
BRA
0 - 0
ITA
63%
22%
15%
|
96 | 96 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1994 |
BGR
1 - 2
ITA
37%
29%
35%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1994 |
TUR
1 - 2
CHE
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
TUR
5 - 0
ISL
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
HUN
2 - 2
TUR
67%
21%
13%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
MKD
0 - 2
TUR
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1994 |
AZE
0 - 0
TUR
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |