Italy vs Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
20.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.8%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
24.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.4%
3.6%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 0
ISR
75%
18%
8%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ESP
3 - 0
ITA
67%
20%
14%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ITA
5 - 0
LIE
86%
12%
2%
|
92 | 29 | 63 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
ITA
3 - 0
URU
50%
26%
25%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
ITA
8 - 0
SMR
83%
13%
4%
|
92 | 27 | 65 | 0 |
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
MKD
1 - 1
ALB
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ISR
0 - 1
MKD
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
MKD
1 - 2
ESP
6%
15%
79%
|
75 | 95 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
MKD
0 - 0
TUR
19%
25%
56%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
MKD
3 - 0
BLR
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |