Italy vs Faroe Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
EST
1 - 2
ITA
12%
25%
63%
|
95 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 1
CIV
67%
21%
12%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2010 |
SVK
3 - 2
ITA
11%
19%
70%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 1
NZL
89%
9%
2%
|
96 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 1
PRY
74%
18%
8%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Faroe Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
FRO
0 - 3
SRB
14%
23%
63%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
EST
2 - 1
FRO
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
LUX
0 - 0
FRO
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ISL
2 - 0
FRO
77%
16%
8%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
ROU
3 - 1
FRO
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 94 | 40 | 0 |