Italy vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2000 |
ITA
2 - 0
ROU
69%
19%
12%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2000 |
ITA
2 - 1
SWE
62%
22%
17%
|
97 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2000 |
ITA
2 - 0
BEL
68%
19%
13%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
TUR
1 - 2
ITA
6%
22%
72%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
NOR
1 - 0
ITA
36%
29%
35%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2000 |
NED
6 - 1
YUG
55%
22%
23%
|
97 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2000 |
FRA
2 - 3
NED
57%
21%
21%
|
97 | 99 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2000 |
DEN
0 - 3
NED
20%
22%
58%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
NED
1 - 0
CZE
79%
14%
7%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
NED
3 - 1
POL
74%
17%
9%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |