Italy vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
URY
2 - 2
ITA
33%
26%
41%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
71%
18%
11%
|
94 | 99 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 4
BRA
17%
20%
63%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
4 - 3
JPN
58%
23%
19%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
MEX
1 - 2
ITA
34%
26%
40%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
GTM
0 - 4
ARG
7%
18%
74%
|
96 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
ECU
1 - 1
ARG
26%
25%
49%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ARG
0 - 0
COL
74%
17%
9%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
BOL
1 - 1
ARG
11%
21%
68%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ARG
3 - 0
VEN
85%
11%
4%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |