UEFA Nations League League C Round 3

Israel vs Scotland analysis

Israel Scotland
81 ELO 85
8.7% Tilt 6.1%
588º General ELO ranking 227º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
39.9%
Israel
25.8%
Draw
34.3%
Scotland

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
Israel
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.3%
Win probability
Scotland
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Israel
-1%
-7%
Scotland

ELO progression

Israel
Scotland
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Israel
Israel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2018
NIR
Northern Ireland
3 - 0
Israel
ISR
41%
26%
33%
81 80 1 0
07 Sep. 2018
ALB
Albania
1 - 0
Israel
ISR
30%
26%
44%
81 75 6 0
24 Mar. 2018
ISR
Israel
1 - 2
Romania
ROU
37%
26%
37%
81 86 5 0
09 Oct. 2017
ISR
Israel
0 - 1
Spain
ESP
10%
17%
73%
81 95 14 0
06 Oct. 2017
LIE
Liechtenstein
0 - 1
Israel
ISR
5%
13%
83%
81 28 53 0

Matches

Scotland
Scotland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2018
SCO
Scotland
2 - 0
Albania
ALB
64%
23%
13%
85 76 9 0
07 Sep. 2018
SCO
Scotland
0 - 4
Belgium
BEL
20%
24%
56%
85 91 6 0
03 Jun. 2018
MEX
Mexico
1 - 0
Scotland
SCO
65%
22%
13%
85 91 6 0
30 May. 2018
PER
Peru
2 - 0
Scotland
SCO
58%
23%
19%
86 88 2 -1
27 Mar. 2018
HUN
Hungary
0 - 1
Scotland
SCO
40%
26%
34%
86 83 3 0