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Iceland vs Norway analysis

Iceland Norway
82 ELO 84
0.2% Tilt 4.5%
821º General ELO ranking 172º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
43.8%
Iceland
25.6%
Draw
30.7%
Norway

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
Iceland
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.6%
Win probability
Norway
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Iceland
Norway
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Iceland
Iceland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2018
PER
Peru
3 - 1
Iceland
ISL
65%
21%
14%
82 88 6 0
24 Mar. 2018
MEX
Mexico
3 - 0
Iceland
ISL
73%
18%
9%
83 91 8 -1
14 Jan. 2018
IDN
Indonesia
1 - 4
Iceland
ISL
11%
18%
71%
83 57 26 0
11 Jan. 2018
IDN
Indonesia
0 - 6
Iceland
ISL
11%
19%
70%
82 58 24 +1
14 Nov. 2017
QAT
Qatar
1 - 1
Iceland
ISL
43%
26%
31%
82 80 2 0

Matches

Norway
Norway
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2018
ALB
Albania
0 - 1
Norway
NOR
31%
27%
42%
84 77 7 0
23 Mar. 2018
NOR
Norway
4 - 1
Australia
AUS
33%
27%
39%
83 86 3 +1
14 Nov. 2017
SVK
Slovakia
1 - 0
Norway
NOR
49%
25%
27%
83 84 1 0
11 Nov. 2017
MKD
Macedonia
2 - 0
Norway
NOR
30%
26%
45%
84 75 9 -1
08 Oct. 2017
NOR
Norway
1 - 0
Northern Ireland
NIR
56%
26%
18%
84 81 3 0