Iceland vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
ISL
1 - 1
LIE
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 25 | 55 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
ISL
4 - 0
AND
86%
11%
3%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
MEX
0 - 0
ISL
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ISL
2 - 0
FRO
77%
16%
8%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
CYP
0 - 0
ISL
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 1
FRA
28%
27%
45%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
NOR
0 - 1
UKR
57%
25%
18%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 1
MNE
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
SVK
0 - 1
NOR
37%
26%
36%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SUI
0 - 1
NOR
50%
26%
25%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |