Iceland vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
NGA
2 - 0
ISL
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
ARG
1 - 1
ISL
78%
14%
7%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
ISL
2 - 2
GHA
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
ISL
2 - 3
NOR
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
PER
3 - 1
ISL
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
ARG
0 - 3
HRV
59%
22%
20%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
HRV
2 - 0
NGA
66%
20%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
HRV
2 - 1
SEN
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 0
HRV
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
MEX
0 - 1
HRV
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |