Northern Ireland vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
61.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
NIR
4 - 0
AZE
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
GER
2 - 0
NIR
91%
7%
2%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
NIR
4 - 0
SMR
83%
14%
4%
|
81 | 30 | 51 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CZE
0 - 0
NIR
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
WAL
1 - 0
NIR
53%
26%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CRO
2 - 0
ISL
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FIN
0 - 1
CRO
16%
23%
61%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
XXK
0 - 6
CRO
13%
21%
67%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 1
TUR
59%
23%
18%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
CRO
0 - 1
POR
43%
25%
32%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |