Northern Ireland vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
52.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1997 |
THA
0 - 0
NIR
31%
27%
42%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
ARM
0 - 0
NIR
19%
26%
56%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1997 |
UKR
2 - 1
NIR
44%
27%
30%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
NIR
0 - 0
PRT
34%
30%
36%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1997 |
NIR
3 - 0
BEL
32%
29%
40%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1997 |
UKR
0 - 0
DEU
14%
24%
63%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
DEU
2 - 0
UKR
93%
6%
2%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1997 |
ALB
2 - 3
DEU
7%
21%
72%
|
93 | 64 | 29 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1997 |
ISR
0 - 1
DEU
18%
25%
57%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
PRT
0 - 0
DEU
42%
26%
32%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |