England vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1990 |
ENG
0 - 0
NED
59%
24%
18%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1990 |
ENG
1 - 1
IRL
73%
19%
9%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1990 |
TUN
1 - 1
ENG
17%
28%
54%
|
94 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1990 |
ENG
1 - 2
URU
69%
21%
10%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1990 |
ENG
1 - 0
DEN
69%
21%
10%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1990 |
IRL
0 - 0
EGY
63%
23%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1990 |
NED
1 - 1
EGY
70%
20%
10%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1990 |
EGY
1 - 1
COL
47%
30%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1990 |
ROU
1 - 0
EGY
66%
22%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1990 |
SCO
1 - 3
EGY
65%
23%
12%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |