WC Qual. Europe Group G Round 4

Netherlands vs Malta analysis

Netherlands Malta
93 ELO 52
20.2% Tilt 11%
42º General ELO ranking 4376º
Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
88.8%
Netherlands
8.5%
Draw
2.7%
Malta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.7%
Win probability
Netherlands
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
2.7%
Win probability
Malta
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Netherlands
+1%
-7%
Malta

ELO progression

Netherlands
Malta
Poland
Lithuania
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Netherlands
Netherlands
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jun. 2025
FIN
Finland
0 - 2
Netherlands
NED
13%
19%
68%
93 79 14 0
23 Mar. 2025
ESP
Spain
3 - 3
Netherlands
NED
62%
20%
19%
93 96 3 0
20 Mar. 2025
NED
Netherlands
2 - 2
Spain
ESP
37%
23%
40%
93 96 3 0
19 Nov. 2024
BIH
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1 - 1
Netherlands
NED
8%
15%
77%
93 79 14 0
16 Nov. 2024
NED
Netherlands
4 - 0
Hungary
HUN
76%
15%
9%
93 86 7 0

Matches

Malta
Malta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jun. 2025
MLT
Malta
0 - 0
Lithuania
LTU
48%
24%
28%
53 54 1 0
24 Mar. 2025
POL
Poland
2 - 0
Malta
MLT
85%
11%
4%
53 87 34 0
21 Mar. 2025
MLT
Malta
0 - 1
Finland
FIN
12%
20%
69%
53 79 26 0
19 Nov. 2024
MLT
Malta
0 - 0
Andorra
AND
77%
15%
8%
53 38 15 0
14 Nov. 2024
MLT
Malta
2 - 0
Liechtenstein
LIE
78%
14%
7%
53 30 23 0