EC Qualifying Group B Round 5

Netherlands vs Greece analysis

Netherlands Greece
93 ELO 84
14.5% Tilt 14.2%
42º General ELO ranking 171º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
84.8%
Netherlands
11%
Draw
4.2%
Greece

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
Netherlands
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.2%
Win probability
Greece
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Netherlands
+2%
+16%
Greece

ELO progression

Netherlands
Greece
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Netherlands
Netherlands
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jun. 2023
NED
Netherlands
2 - 3
Italy
ITA
58%
21%
21%
93 92 1 0
14 Jun. 2023
NED
Netherlands
2 - 4
Croatia
CRO
65%
19%
16%
93 91 2 0
27 Mar. 2023
NED
Netherlands
3 - 0
Gibraltar
GIB
97%
3%
0%
93 43 50 0
24 Mar. 2023
FRA
France
4 - 0
Netherlands
NED
46%
24%
30%
94 94 0 -1
09 Dec. 2022
NED
Netherlands
2 - 2
Argentina
ARG
44%
24%
32%
94 95 1 0

Matches

Greece
Greece
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jun. 2023
FRA
France
1 - 0
Greece
GRC
84%
12%
4%
85 94 9 0
16 Jun. 2023
GRC
Greece
2 - 1
Ireland
IRL
40%
28%
32%
84 85 1 +1
27 Mar. 2023
GRC
Greece
0 - 0
Lithuania
LTU
74%
18%
8%
85 54 31 -1
24 Mar. 2023
GIB
Gibraltar
0 - 3
Greece
GRC
11%
21%
68%
85 43 42 0
20 Nov. 2022
HUN
Hungary
2 - 1
Greece
GRC
52%
26%
23%
85 85 0 0