Netherlands vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1987 |
PRT
1 - 1
NLD
40%
28%
32%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1987 |
ESP
1 - 1
NLD
58%
24%
18%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
CYP
0 - 2
NLD
2%
19%
79%
|
89 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1986 |
NLD
0 - 1
DDR
56%
24%
20%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1986 |
NLD
0 - 0
POL
60%
23%
18%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1987 |
GRC
1 - 1
ROU
34%
29%
37%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1987 |
GRC
3 - 1
CYP
84%
11%
5%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1987 |
PRT
1 - 1
GRC
68%
21%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1986 |
CYP
2 - 4
GRC
24%
24%
52%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
GRC
2 - 1
HUN
23%
27%
50%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | +1 |