Netherlands vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 1
NLD
39%
25%
36%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
BIH
0 - 0
NLD
16%
21%
63%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
NLD
0 - 1
MEX
61%
21%
18%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
NLD
0 - 1
ITA
63%
20%
17%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
NLD
1 - 0
POL
77%
15%
9%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
UKR
1 - 0
ESP
12%
20%
69%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ESP
1 - 0
CHE
82%
12%
6%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
PRT
0 - 0
ESP
32%
24%
44%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
ESP
4 - 0
UKR
84%
11%
5%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
DEU
1 - 1
ESP
43%
23%
35%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |