Netherlands vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
IRL
2 - 3
NED
33%
27%
40%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
53%
25%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1983 |
NED
3 - 0
ISL
89%
9%
3%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
NED
0 - 3
SWE
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1983 |
ESP
1 - 0
NED
54%
25%
21%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1983 |
FRA
1 - 1
ESP
49%
27%
25%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1983 |
ISL
0 - 1
ESP
19%
27%
55%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
MLT
2 - 3
ESP
9%
23%
69%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
ESP
2 - 0
IRL
76%
18%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1983 |
ESP
1 - 0
NED
54%
25%
21%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |