Netherlands vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
NLD
2 - 0
NOR
81%
13%
7%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
MNE
2 - 2
NLD
5%
15%
80%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
NLD
6 - 0
GIB
96%
3%
0%
|
92 | 41 | 51 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
LVA
0 - 1
NLD
3%
13%
84%
|
92 | 56 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
NLD
6 - 1
TUR
75%
16%
10%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
SCT
2 - 0
DNK
20%
25%
55%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
DNK
3 - 1
FRO
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
DNK
1 - 0
AUT
67%
19%
14%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MDA
0 - 4
DNK
5%
18%
77%
|
90 | 49 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
DNK
5 - 0
ISR
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |