Netherlands vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1992 |
NED
2 - 0
YUG
44%
28%
29%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1992 |
POR
2 - 0
NED
31%
30%
40%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1991 |
GRC
0 - 2
NED
27%
27%
46%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1991 |
NED
1 - 0
POR
62%
24%
14%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1991 |
NED
1 - 1
POL
57%
25%
18%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1992 |
AUT
2 - 4
POL
46%
27%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1992 |
AUT
1 - 1
WAL
56%
26%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1992 |
AUT
4 - 0
LTU
86%
10%
4%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1992 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
58%
24%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1991 |
AUT
0 - 2
YUG
34%
28%
39%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |