UEFA Nations League League B Round 4

Greece vs Ireland analysis

Greece Ireland
86 ELO 84
-13.9% Tilt -24.1%
173º General ELO ranking 295º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
50.5%
Greece
25.8%
Draw
23.6%
Ireland

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
Greece
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.6%
Win probability
Ireland
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Greece
+16%
-9%
Ireland

ELO progression

Greece
Ireland
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Greece
Greece
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2024
ENG
England
1 - 2
Greece
GRC
77%
16%
7%
86 93 7 0
10 Sep. 2024
IRL
Ireland
0 - 2
Greece
GRC
44%
28%
27%
85 84 1 +1
07 Sep. 2024
GRC
Greece
3 - 0
Finland
FIN
53%
25%
22%
85 81 4 0
11 Jun. 2024
GRC
Greece
2 - 0
Malta
MLT
79%
16%
6%
85 53 32 0
07 Jun. 2024
GER
Germany
2 - 1
Greece
GRC
85%
11%
5%
85 92 7 0

Matches

Ireland
Ireland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2024
FIN
Finland
1 - 2
Ireland
IRL
39%
27%
33%
84 80 4 0
10 Sep. 2024
IRL
Ireland
0 - 2
Greece
GRC
44%
28%
27%
84 85 1 0
07 Sep. 2024
IRL
Ireland
0 - 2
England
ENG
13%
21%
67%
85 93 8 -1
11 Jun. 2024
POR
Portugal
3 - 0
Ireland
IRL
83%
12%
5%
85 93 8 0
04 Jun. 2024
IRL
Ireland
2 - 1
Hungary
HUN
31%
26%
42%
84 86 2 +1