Ghana vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1978 |
GHA
1 - 0
TUN
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1978 |
GHA
3 - 0
BFA
78%
13%
9%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
NGA
1 - 1
GHA
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
GHA
2 - 1
ZMB
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
NGA
2 - 1
GHA
51%
21%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1978 |
UGA
2 - 1
NGA
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
UGA
3 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 1978 |
TUN
3 - 1
UGA
73%
15%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1978 |
UGA
3 - 1
COG
57%
22%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1977 |
UGA
5 - 3
ZMB
55%
21%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |