Georgia vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
GEO
3 - 1
HUN
26%
23%
51%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
LUX
0 - 3
GEO
13%
21%
67%
|
77 | 39 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
HUN
4 - 1
GEO
80%
13%
6%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
GEO
1 - 2
ITA
8%
23%
68%
|
77 | 99 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
GEO
1 - 0
AZE
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
LTU
0 - 0
ITA
15%
26%
59%
|
73 | 99 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
LTU
2 - 3
ISR
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2001 |
LVA
4 - 1
LTU
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2001 |
LTU
5 - 2
EST
58%
22%
19%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
LTU
1 - 2
ROU
16%
22%
63%
|
73 | 93 | 20 | 0 |