Wales vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
38.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1907 |
INE
2 - 3
WAL
42%
23%
35%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1906 |
WAL
4 - 4
IDI
49%
23%
29%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1906 |
WAL
0 - 1
ENG
30%
24%
46%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1906 |
SCO
0 - 2
WAL
80%
12%
8%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 1905 |
IDI
2 - 2
WAL
75%
14%
11%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1906 |
SCO
2 - 1
ENG
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1906 |
IDI
0 - 1
SCO
51%
22%
28%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1906 |
SCO
0 - 2
WAL
80%
12%
8%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1905 |
ENG
1 - 0
SCO
68%
17%
15%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1905 |
SCO
4 - 0
IDI
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |