Wales vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
WLS
4 - 1
NOR
27%
27%
46%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
BGR
0 - 1
WLS
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
WLS
2 - 0
CHE
29%
27%
44%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
ENG
1 - 0
WLS
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
WLS
2 - 1
MNE
74%
17%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
VEN
0 - 2
CRI
53%
24%
24%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CUB
1 - 1
CRI
21%
25%
54%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 2
ESP
8%
17%
76%
|
85 | 100 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
PAN
2 - 0
CRI
35%
27%
39%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
CRI
0 - 1
BRA
11%
20%
69%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |