Gabon vs Guinea-Bissau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
16.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
GAB
1 - 1
COM
81%
15%
4%
|
66 | 13 | 53 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MLI
0 - 0
GAB
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GAB
0 - 0
MAR
22%
28%
50%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
CMR
2 - 1
GAB
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
SDN
1 - 2
GAB
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea-Bissau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
COG
1 - 0
GNB
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
GNB
3 - 2
ZMB
21%
25%
55%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
KEN
0 - 1
GNB
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
GNB
1 - 0
KEN
34%
25%
42%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
GNB
1 - 3
LBR
34%
24%
43%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |