Gabon vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
0 - 0
SSD
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
0 - 0
BFA
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
GHA
2 - 1
GAB
60%
23%
16%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
GAB
0 - 2
BRA
6%
16%
78%
|
73 | 99 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
GAB
2 - 0
GNQ
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
NER
1 - 1
BWA
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
EGY
3 - 0
NER
86%
10%
4%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
GAB
1 - 0
NER
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
NER
2 - 1
ZAF
14%
24%
62%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
LBR
0 - 0
NER
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |