Finland vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
82.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
13.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
11%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
FIN
2 - 0
SVN
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
BLR
1 - 1
FIN
43%
27%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
FIN
1 - 0
BLR
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
LUX
0 - 3
FIN
11%
20%
70%
|
83 | 38 | 45 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 1
FIN
87%
10%
3%
|
83 | 98 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ECU
0 - 2
ESP
11%
18%
72%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 0
ESP
34%
23%
43%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
71%
18%
11%
|
99 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
NGA
0 - 3
ESP
4%
10%
86%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
10 - 0
PYF
92%
7%
1%
|
99 | 45 | 54 | 0 |