Finland vs Slovenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
BLR
1 - 1
FIN
43%
27%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
FIN
1 - 0
BLR
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
LUX
0 - 3
FIN
11%
20%
70%
|
83 | 38 | 45 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 1
FIN
87%
10%
3%
|
83 | 98 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
ISR
2 - 1
FIN
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Slovenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
ISL
2 - 4
SVN
43%
28%
29%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
TUR
0 - 2
SVN
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
SVN
1 - 2
ISL
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
SVN
0 - 3
BIH
52%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
MKD
3 - 2
SVN
41%
30%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |