Finland vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
40.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1969 |
ESP
6 - 0
FIN
83%
11%
6%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1969 |
DEN
5 - 2
FIN
83%
11%
7%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
FIN
2 - 2
NOR
46%
22%
32%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1969 |
FIN
3 - 1
ISL
57%
20%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1969 |
FIN
2 - 0
ESP
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | +2 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1970 |
DEN
0 - 2
POL
55%
22%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1969 |
HUN
3 - 0
DEN
85%
10%
5%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1969 |
IRL
1 - 1
DEN
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
NOR
2 - 0
DEN
42%
22%
36%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1969 |
DEN
5 - 2
FIN
83%
11%
7%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |