Estonia vs Russia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
60.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2002 |
KSA
0 - 2
EST
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2001 |
EST
0 - 0
KAZ
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
GRC
4 - 2
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
POR
5 - 0
EST
81%
14%
5%
|
67 | 95 | 28 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
NED
5 - 0
EST
86%
11%
3%
|
67 | 98 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
IRL
2 - 0
RUS
49%
25%
26%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2001 |
LVA
1 - 3
RUS
17%
24%
59%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
RUS
4 - 0
SUI
51%
26%
24%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
FRO
0 - 3
RUS
12%
21%
67%
|
91 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
SVN
2 - 1
RUS
25%
25%
51%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |