Estonia vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
EST
2 - 5
BEL
1%
11%
88%
|
65 | 94 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
LVA
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
FIN
0 - 1
EST
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
LTU
0 - 1
EST
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
SWE
1 - 0
EST
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
LTU
1 - 4
NIR
16%
26%
58%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
UKR
1 - 0
NIR
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MLT
0 - 3
NIR
13%
24%
63%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
NIR
0 - 0
BGR
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NIR
1 - 2
USA
10%
21%
70%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |