UEFA Nations League League C Round 4

Estonia vs Hungary analysis

Estonia Hungary
70 ELO 82
-16% Tilt -12%
2699º General ELO ranking 209º
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
20.9%
Estonia
25.2%
Draw
54%
Hungary

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
Estonia
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
53.9%
Win probability
Hungary
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Estonia
-22%
-3%
Hungary

ELO progression

Estonia
Hungary
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Estonia
Estonia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2018
EST
Estonia
0 - 1
Finland
FIN
26%
28%
46%
70 81 11 0
11 Sep. 2018
FIN
Finland
1 - 0
Estonia
EST
64%
21%
15%
71 81 10 -1
08 Sep. 2018
EST
Estonia
0 - 1
Greece
GRC
29%
31%
40%
71 85 14 0
09 Jun. 2018
EST
Estonia
1 - 3
Morocco
MAR
25%
29%
46%
72 86 14 -1
02 Jun. 2018
LVA
Latvia
1 - 0
Estonia
EST
31%
26%
44%
72 62 10 0

Matches

Hungary
Hungary
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2018
GRC
Greece
1 - 0
Hungary
HUN
46%
26%
28%
83 85 2 0
11 Sep. 2018
HUN
Hungary
2 - 1
Greece
GRC
45%
27%
28%
82 85 3 +1
08 Sep. 2018
FIN
Finland
1 - 0
Hungary
HUN
39%
26%
35%
82 80 2 0
09 Jun. 2018
HUN
Hungary
1 - 2
Australia
AUS
38%
26%
36%
82 86 4 0
06 Jun. 2018
BLR
Belarus
1 - 1
Hungary
HUN
35%
26%
39%
83 78 5 -1