United States vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1988 |
USA
0 - 2
ECU
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1988 |
USA
0 - 1
ECU
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
USA
0 - 3
CHI
30%
26%
45%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1988 |
USA
1 - 3
CHI
31%
26%
44%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1988 |
USA
1 - 1
CHI
31%
26%
44%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1988 |
USA
0 - 2
ECU
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1988 |
USA
0 - 1
ECU
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1988 |
ECU
2 - 1
CAN
49%
23%
28%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 1987 |
PER
1 - 1
ECU
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1987 |
ARG
3 - 0
ECU
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 91 | 24 | 0 |