United States vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
44.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
USA
4 - 0
OMN
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
UZB
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
USA
1 - 1
PAN
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
USA
2 - 2
CAN
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
USA
6 - 0
TTO
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
DEU
2 - 1
FRA
42%
24%
34%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DEU
1 - 4
JPN
71%
16%
12%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
DEU
0 - 2
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
POL
1 - 0
DEU
18%
20%
62%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
DEU
3 - 3
UKR
80%
13%
7%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |