United States vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
DEU
1 - 2
USA
80%
13%
7%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
NLD
3 - 4
USA
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
USA
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
DNK
3 - 2
USA
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
BMU
0 - 1
GTM
20%
23%
57%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
GTM
0 - 0
BMU
72%
19%
10%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
URY
5 - 1
GTM
84%
12%
4%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
MEX
3 - 0
GTM
78%
16%
7%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
SLV
0 - 0
GTM
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |