Spain vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1994 |
BEL
1 - 4
ESP
36%
28%
36%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1994 |
ESP
2 - 0
FIN
81%
14%
5%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
ESP
3 - 0
DEN
61%
23%
16%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
MKD
0 - 2
ESP
9%
20%
71%
|
93 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
CYP
1 - 2
ESP
14%
26%
60%
|
93 | 61 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1994 |
PER
0 - 1
URU
26%
30%
44%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1993 |
GER
5 - 0
URU
58%
22%
20%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1993 |
BRA
2 - 0
URU
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
URU
2 - 1
BOL
69%
21%
10%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
ECU
0 - 1
URU
33%
30%
38%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |