Spain vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 0
ENG
53%
25%
22%
|
100 | 99 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
ESP
3 - 0
CHL
74%
18%
7%
|
100 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 2
ESP
17%
24%
58%
|
100 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
EST
0 - 3
ESP
9%
21%
70%
|
100 | 67 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
ESP
4 - 0
ARM
82%
14%
4%
|
100 | 72 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
TUR
1 - 1
CIV
61%
23%
16%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
AUT
2 - 4
TUR
42%
27%
32%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
EST
0 - 0
TUR
17%
26%
58%
|
91 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
TUR
2 - 1
BIH
73%
18%
9%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
TUR
1 - 1
BEL
50%
25%
25%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |