Spain vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
4 - 0
LTU
94%
5%
1%
|
95 | 56 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
PRT
65%
19%
16%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
3 - 1
XXK
96%
3%
0%
|
95 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
GEO
1 - 2
ESP
1%
10%
89%
|
95 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 1
GRC
90%
8%
2%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SWE
3 - 1
ARM
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
SWE
2 - 0
FIN
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
SWE
1 - 0
EST
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
XXK
0 - 3
SWE
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
SWE
1 - 0
GEO
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |