Spain vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
ESP
1 - 1
ARG
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
ESP
1 - 2
YUG
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1988 |
BRD
2 - 0
ESP
74%
16%
11%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1988 |
ITA
1 - 0
ESP
65%
19%
15%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1988 |
DNK
2 - 3
ESP
59%
21%
21%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1988 |
IRL
4 - 0
TUN
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
NIR
0 - 0
IRL
51%
28%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1988 |
IRL
0 - 1
NLD
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1988 |
IRL
1 - 1
SUN
39%
26%
36%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1988 |
ENG
0 - 1
IRL
84%
11%
5%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |