Spain vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 1
BIH
83%
13%
4%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ROU
0 - 0
ESP
14%
20%
66%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
22%
24%
54%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 0
ENG
54%
23%
23%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
UKR
0 - 1
ESP
16%
22%
62%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
THA
0 - 1
KOR
23%
25%
53%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
KOR
1 - 0
LBN
78%
16%
6%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
LAO
0 - 5
KOR
11%
19%
70%
|
87 | 29 | 58 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
KOR
4 - 0
MMR
79%
16%
6%
|
87 | 43 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
KOR
3 - 0
JAM
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |