Spain vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.8%
11%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
ENG
2 - 2
ESP
37%
25%
38%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ESP
4 - 0
MKD
89%
9%
2%
|
95 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 2
ESP
7%
17%
77%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
26%
25%
49%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
ESP
8 - 0
LIE
91%
8%
1%
|
96 | 27 | 69 | -1 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
ISR
2 - 0
ISR
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 3
ISR
33%
27%
41%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ISR
2 - 1
LIE
92%
7%
1%
|
82 | 26 | 56 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
MKD
1 - 2
ISR
28%
26%
47%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
ISR
1 - 3
ITA
22%
25%
54%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |