Spain vs United States analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
ESP
2 - 1
PER
79%
15%
6%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
51%
26%
23%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 0
FRA
43%
27%
30%
|
98 | 99 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
ESP
1 - 0
NIR
81%
15%
5%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
ESP
3 - 0
SWE
65%
21%
14%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2008 |
ENG
2 - 0
USA
67%
21%
13%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
POL
0 - 3
USA
47%
27%
26%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
USA
2 - 2
MEX
49%
26%
26%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
USA
2 - 0
SWE
47%
26%
27%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
ZAF
0 - 1
USA
18%
28%
55%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |