WC Qual. Europe Grupo H. Jor. 1

Slovenia vs Croatia analysis

Slovenia Croatia
80 ELO 89
-10.9% Tilt -18.7%
272º General ELO ranking 39º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
10.1%
Slovenia
19.3%
Draw
70.6%
Croatia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
Slovenia
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
70.6%
Win probability
Croatia
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Slovenia
+19%
+8%
Croatia

ELO progression

Slovenia
Croatia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Slovenia
Slovenia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2020
GRC
Greece
0 - 0
Slovenia
SVN
50%
26%
24%
79 83 4 0
15 Nov. 2020
SVN
Slovenia
2 - 1
Kosovo
XXK
69%
19%
13%
79 69 10 0
11 Nov. 2020
SVN
Slovenia
0 - 0
Azerbaijan
AZE
74%
18%
9%
79 60 19 0
14 Oct. 2020
MDA
Moldova
0 - 4
Slovenia
SVN
13%
24%
63%
79 52 27 0
11 Oct. 2020
XXK
Kosovo
0 - 1
Slovenia
SVN
42%
25%
33%
79 70 9 0

Matches

Croatia
Croatia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2020
HRV
Croatia
2 - 3
Portugal
PRT
31%
24%
45%
90 92 2 0
14 Nov. 2020
SWE
Sweden
2 - 1
Croatia
HRV
34%
25%
41%
90 88 2 0
11 Nov. 2020
TUR
Turkey
3 - 3
Croatia
HRV
29%
26%
46%
90 87 3 0
14 Oct. 2020
HRV
Croatia
1 - 2
France
FRA
31%
26%
42%
91 95 4 -1
11 Oct. 2020
HRV
Croatia
2 - 1
Sweden
SWE
57%
23%
20%
90 89 1 +1
X