UAE vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
ARE
1 - 0
PAK
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1986 |
QAT
3 - 2
ARE
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
BHR
1 - 3
ARE
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1986 |
SAU
0 - 2
ARE
67%
19%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
OMN
0 - 1
ARE
35%
25%
41%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
IRN
4 - 0
THA
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1986 |
THA
0 - 2
SGP
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1985 |
THA
2 - 0
SGP
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
IDN
0 - 7
THA
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1985 |
PHL
0 - 7
THA
40%
23%
37%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |